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After a goalless draw with Everton, a team Enzo Maresca considers "one of the best" defensive sides in Europe, Chelsea extended their unbeaten run to 12 games (W9, D3) and remain in second place. Playing on Boxing Day for the first time since 2021, Chelsea will look to continue their solid festive form in this West London derby against Fulham, having won their last three matches following Christmas Day.
However, Maresca's consistent denial of their title aspirations may be influenced by the fact that no team since 2010 has sat in second place at Christmas with fewer points than Chelsea’s current 35. Nonetheless, a return to Stamford Bridge could improve their chances, as while they’ve kept only one Premier League clean sheet at home this season, they haven’t lost a league game here since the opening day (W4, D3).
With just three points separating fifth and tenth place at Christmas, Fulham could still finish the year in the European spots with a positive result. However, it will be a tough challenge for them, as they have the weakest historical record in West London derbies, winning just 27% of encounters with Chelsea (W8, D23, L47).
Fulham manager Marco Silva will face an uphill battle to improve his record against Chelsea, having won only two of his ten career meetings with them (D2, L6), including defeats in four of five away matches. Despite this, Fulham cannot be underestimated. Their most recent Premier League away game saw them hold league leaders Liverpool to a draw, extending their unbeaten run on the road to four games (W1, D3).
Key players to watch include Chelsea's Nicolas Jackson, who has hit the woodwork more than any other player in the Premier League with 12 attempts, contributing to a frustrating total of missed chances (Premier League: 9 goals). For Fulham, Alex Iwobi has been in strong form, registering four goal contributions in his last six appearances (3 goals, 1 assist), with his last three goals coming as openers.
Stat to note: Among teams that have played at least two Premier League games as betting outsiders, only Newcastle (80%) have a better win/draw rate than Fulham (75% - W2, D4, L2). 123
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